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  1. Featured insight

China update: Domestic revival gaining traction despite external headwinds

Investors started to turn more positive towards China after the government stepped up support for the economy last September. Domestic developments in artificial intelligence (AI) had also helped to boost market sentiment. But in recent weeks, global markets – including China equities – have been upended with chaotic announcements from the US about trade tariffs on goods imports from around the globe.

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We had entered the meeting with a leading air-conditioner company in our portfolio worried about the risks to its growth and profitability, as the second wave of Covid-19 affected consumer demand and raw material costs rose sharply.
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In the first three months of this year, 17 new companies have listed on the mainboard exchanges in India, more than in all of 2019 or 2020*. High levels of retail investor participation and continuing inflows for domestic mutual funds have meant that these new issuances have been lapped up by eager investors.
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Every company we speak to these days tells us about the cost pressure that they are facing, emanating from rising global commodity prices. Domestic steel prices have risen by 35% y/y, copper by over 50% y/y and palm oil by over 60% y/y through February 2021.
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Five trends shaping investments in China: 2021 and beyond

Given its size and influence, China remains a key investment destination despite ongoing trade disputes and diplomatic tensions with the US and Australia. With a GDP equivalent to around 70% of the United States, many global portfolios continue to feature Chinese equities.
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