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China update: Domestic revival gaining traction despite external headwinds

Investors started to turn more positive towards China after the government stepped up support for the economy last September. Domestic developments in artificial intelligence (AI) had also helped to boost market sentiment. But in recent weeks, global markets – including China equities – have been upended with chaotic announcements from the US about trade tariffs on goods imports from around the globe.

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Investors started to turn more positive towards China after the government stepped up support for the economy last September. Domestic developments in artificial intelligence (AI) had also helped to boost market sentiment. But in recent weeks, global markets – including China equities – have been upended with chaotic announcements from the US about trade tariffs on goods imports from around the globe.
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News about US reciprocal tariffs have rocked global markets, as President Trump announced sweeping import taxes that were far higher and affected a much broader swathe of countries than expected.
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Our Asian equity strategies delivered reasonable returns in 2024, and our long-term track record remains solid. Despite the prevailing uncertainty and an uneven recovery across the region, our portfolio holdings were generally resilient.
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The American economist Frank Knight once observed that uncertainty, unlike risk, cannot be quantified or predicted.
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The promise of the ASEAN region, home to more than 670 million people, has been underpinned by the growing middle classes. But in recent years, investment returns have been disappointing amid weak consumer demand and a K-shaped recovery. Thankfully, we continue to find companies with strong franchises and high-quality management teams which should be resilient in this environment.
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India’s large population, its rapidly developing metropolises and its rich history of commerce, are all contributing to its journey in becoming an economic powerhouse. FSSA has been investing in India since the market first opened to foreign investors (in the early ‘90s); we then launched our dedicated India strategy in 1994.
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Our investment philosophy focuses on owning high-quality businesses in emerging markets for long-term wealth creation. We target "structural compounders" with strong management, sustainable models, and competitive advantages.
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Whilst valuations of many small and mid-cap companies are questionably high, we are being prudent; and we believe there are a number of reasons why India’s premium is well justified.
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